One of the many attractions of UK flat racing are the idiosyncrasies of all the different tracks and coming to understand the bias (from either the draw, pace tactics or the going) can be a crucial edge when finding winners and making your betting profitable. We are going to look at the 10 most prevalent track biases with in terms of draw or pace that punters can use to help find winners while used alongside beth.bet:
This is one of the most significant draw biases in the country with low drawn runners highly favoured. Stalls 1-2 who can get a prominent position against the far-rail and very often prove extremely hard to catch. Although Pontefract has a stiff uphill finish it seems to be virtually impossible on fast ground to come from off the pace. Concentrate particularly on the races under a mile where those drawn low who look set to get an easy lead against the rail. Conversely hold up runners find it very hard to land a blow, unless the ground is riding a lot softer than normal.
2. Lingfield Turf
This notable Surrey track in the South East has always shown a huge bias towards the stand side – those horses drawn high over five, six and seven furlongs are dramatically favoured on fast ground. Lingfield is an undulating track, and with the faster strip of ground against the stand’s rail there is a marked advantage particularly for those ridden forwards from the stalls.
The oldest racecourse in Britain, Chester has one of the most well-known track biases (that seasoned punters and the betting market) are well aware of. Low drawn runners win an incredible 60% of races over five furlongs (those drawn in stalls 1-3), with high drawn numbers rarely getting involved from off the pace. The only exception is when the ground rides soft and the leaders go off too hard, but generally at Chester over all distances it is best focusing your attention on those drawn nearest the rail.
This stunning Sussex course has suffered from over-watering over the last few years, but with a new Clerk of the Course there has been significant improvement in the condition of the track. In the past high numbers on the straight five- and six-furlong course can be favoured, but these days any bias is usually pace related. Punters are strongly advised to watch the early races carefully to try and discern any track biases at this uniquely undulating track (can change dramatically from meeting to meeting).
This is a sharp, left-handed, speed-based track where low numbers tend to be advantaged and front-runners are particularly hard to catch. The only time to note a change here, is on soft or heavy ground when they tend to come over to the stand side away from the far rail. Generally speaking, however, in the summer months, low numbers are worth concentrating on for betting purposes.
There has been racing at Beverley for more than three hundred years and this notoriously difficult undulating track has seen some exceptional racing for the grade (with decent prize money and big crowds in attendance). There is a distinct draw bias over five furlongs where low numbers are at a huge advantage, and it can be extremely difficult for those drawn higher and racing isolated up the middle to make any headway from off the pace.
A left-handed oval track which hugely favours front-runners on the straight course – so astute punters should identify those sprinters with plenty of pace (and with high drawn numbers having a distinct advantage, bagging the rail and making them incredibly hard to catch).
8. Kempton (All-weather surface)
Kempton has shown a huge bias towards high drawn numbers over the last ten years or so, particularly in fields with ten or more runners. They race right-handed round an early sharp bend here over all trips and those parked out wide from a low draw very rarely land a blow (or have to be dropped right out the back to avoid losing many lengths parked wide).
Firm ground is the order of the day over the summer months at Bath due to its high location and lack of watering system. Low numbers who can get a pitch against the far rail tend to make all the running or prove very hard to catch. This could change completely on soft or heavy ground when they fan out all over the track, but that would be most unusual during the summer season.
Another tricky right-handed, undulating oval course which again can be influenced by overwatering in the summer months to avoid firm ground, but generally speaking high numbers on the straight course are worth siding with. However, punters are advised to watch the early races at each meeting here as conditions can change quite dramatically.
Although no draw bias is set in stone perhaps (with the exception of the course at Chester), punters should always factor it in their betting analysis. Other variables for beth.bet subscribers to consider (in tandem with established track biases), are weather conditions, watering pattern reports, where the pace is in each race, and the all-important going description on the day. These tips should help influence the way you calculate your punting predictions used alongside the unique Beth selections.